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21$22EFC Rollouts
Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 11 March 2014, at 4:17 p.m.
In Response To: 21$54SF42PFC.–7–5 (Nack Ballard)
Here's my money rollout that agrees in large with Igor's.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 184Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=abBCCdEacdAA:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 65.44% (G:27.25% B:2.97%) 65.26% (G:27.94% B:3.17%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34.56% (G:6.21% B:0.27%) 34.74% (G:6.32% B:0.29%) Cubeless Equities +0.546 +1.100 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.795 (0.014) ±0.007 (+0.789..+0.802) Double/Take: +0.809 ±0.009 (+0.800..+0.818) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.191) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3ply
Using version 1Double Decision confidence: 99.4% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 22 hours 20 minutes eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
And a short one AtS (7a 5a)
White is Player 2
score: 2
pip: 1847 point match pip: 159
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=abBCCdEacdAA:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:7:10 Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 65.48% (G:27.74% B:2.96%) 65.54% (G:27.79% B:2.84%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34.52% (G:6.50% B:0.30%) 34.46% (G:6.76% B:0.36%) Cubeless Equities +0.556 +1.188 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.889 (0.111) ±0.013 (+0.876..+0.901) Double/Take: +1.016 (+0.016) ±0.021 (+0.995..+1.037) Double/Pass: +1.000 Best Cube action: Double / Pass Rollout details 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 20090499
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollerDouble Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 93.7% Duration: 38 minutes 59 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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