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Variation 1

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Saturday, 26 July 2014, at 12:47 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Ian Dunstan)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
3 point match
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--A-DbD---cEA--b-e-aa---:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:3:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout114/11 8/5(2) 4/1* eq: +0.535
Player:
Opponent:
62.09% (G:14.11% B:0.46%)
37.91% (G:8.13% B:0.21%)
Conf.: 0.012 (+0.522...+0.547) - [82.9%]
Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout113/10 8/5(2) 4/1* eq: +0.525 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent:
61.49% (G:16.19% B:0.56%)
38.51% (G:8.87% B:0.27%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.512...+0.539) - [15.3%]
Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds
3.Rollout113/10(2) 8/5(2)eq: +0.516 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
62.00% (G:13.73% B:0.60%)
38.00% (G:7.61% B:0.20%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.503...+0.530) - [1.7%]
Duration: 3 minutes 13 seconds
4.Rollout113/10(3) 4/1* eq: +0.462 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:
60.56% (G:13.92% B:0.56%)
39.44% (G:9.11% B:0.26%)
Conf.: 0.018 (+0.444...+0.480) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 17 seconds
5.Rollout114/5 8/5eq: +0.430 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:
60.81% (G:10.96% B:0.38%)
39.19% (G:7.56% B:0.16%)
Conf.: 0.014 (+0.417...+0.444) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 53 seconds
6.4-ply14/11 13/10(2) 4/1* eq: +0.431 (-0.104)
Player:
Opponent:
60.88% (G:11.43% B:0.33%)
39.12% (G:8.63% B:0.24%)
7.4-ply14/11 13/10 8/5(2)eq: +0.422 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:
60.68% (G:12.34% B:0.58%)
39.32% (G:8.70% B:0.39%)
8.4-ply8/5(3) 4/1* eq: +0.391 (-0.144)
Player:
Opponent:
59.01% (G:14.83% B:0.39%)
40.99% (G:10.33% B:0.35%)
1 Truncated at 10 moves using 4-ply.
216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94696176
First 3 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

The 6th checquer has been moved from the mid to the 8pt. Now making the 5pt is more important than un-stacking the mid, which makes sense. The loose hit on the ace pt is still a huge idea though.

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