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Variation 2

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Saturday, 26 July 2014, at 12:58 a.m.

In Response To: Variation 1 (Ian Dunstan)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
3 point match
pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--A-DbC---cFA--b-e-b----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:3:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout114/8 13/10(2)eq: +0.147
Player:
Opponent:
54.80% (G:8.05% B:0.28%)
45.20% (G:9.96% B:0.18%)
Conf.: 0.012 (+0.135...+0.159) - [85.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout113/10(3) 4/1* eq: +0.137 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent:
54.79% (G:8.73% B:0.27%)
45.21% (G:10.91% B:0.25%)
Conf.: 0.015 (+0.122...+0.152) - [14.9%]
Duration: 2 minutes 48 seconds
3.Rollout114/5 8/5eq: +0.083 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
53.46% (G:8.04% B:0.27%)
46.54% (G:10.66% B:0.22%)
Conf.: 0.012 (+0.071...+0.094) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds
4.Rollout114/11 13/10(3)eq: +0.026 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:
51.86% (G:8.55% B:0.35%)
48.14% (G:11.60% B:0.31%)
Conf.: 0.012 (+0.014...+0.038) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 28 seconds
5.4-ply13/10(2) 6/3(2)eq: +0.034 (-0.113)
Player:
Opponent:
52.21% (G:8.95% B:0.34%)
47.79% (G:12.41% B:0.32%)
6.4-ply13/10(4)eq: +0.031 (-0.116)
Player:
Opponent:
52.11% (G:8.14% B:0.29%)
47.89% (G:11.28% B:0.25%)
7.4-ply14/11 13/10(2) 4/1* eq: +0.029 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:
52.11% (G:8.81% B:0.26%)
47.89% (G:12.19% B:0.36%)
8.3-ply8/5(3) 4/1* eq: -0.068 (-0.215)
Player:
Opponent:
49.63% (G:10.13% B:0.20%)
50.37% (G:13.75% B:0.30%)
1 Truncated at 10 moves using 4-ply.
216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94696176
First 3 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Now to try tidying up gunbg's home board blots. The mid is back to being over-stacked so 13/10(2) is important again, however the loose hit idea is replaced slightly by the need to safety blots with 14/8. A full rollout might see something different here, however XG seems to understand the position well from all the playing around with positions I did.

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