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Variation 3

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Saturday, 26 July 2014, at 1:36 a.m.

In Response To: Variation 2 (Ian Dunstan)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
3 point match
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--A-DbD---cEA--b-e-b----:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:3:10
Blue to play 33

1.Rollout114/5 8/5eq: +0.327
Player:
Opponent:		58.38% (G:9.89% B:0.37%)
41.62% (G:8.29% B:0.18%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.316...+0.338) - [62.2%]
Duration: 2 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout113/10(2) 8/5(2)eq: +0.324 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		57.86% (G:12.18% B:0.49%)
42.14% (G:9.50% B:0.27%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.311...+0.337) - [37.7%]
Duration: 2 minutes 43 seconds
3.Rollout114/11 8/5(2) 4/1* eq: +0.304 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:		57.47% (G:12.00% B:0.41%)
42.53% (G:9.99% B:0.30%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.291...+0.317) - [0.1%]
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds
4.Rollout114/8 13/10(2)eq: +0.243 (-0.083)
Player:
Opponent:		56.65% (G:9.85% B:0.32%)
43.35% (G:9.77% B:0.20%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.230...+0.256) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 43 seconds
5.4-ply13/10(3) 4/1* eq: +0.216 (-0.110)
Player:
Opponent:		56.57% (G:8.83% B:0.21%)
43.43% (G:10.19% B:0.26%)
1 Truncated at 10 moves using 4-ply.
216 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94696176
First 3 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Here is Variation 1 and 2 together. 4/1* is not too far off the mark here either, though it it reassuring to see that making the 5pt comes out well again.

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