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52S-C.–2–2 41K Rollout

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Sunday, 14 September 2014, at 7:10 p.m.

In Response To: What is XG Thinking here? (Dmitriy Obukhov)





White is Player 2

score: 15
pip: 160
17 point match
pip: 167
score: 15

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--E-C---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:00:15:15:0:17:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 50.08% (G:16.05% B:1.59%) 49.99% (G:15.67% B:1.55%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 49.92% (G:16.98% B:2.22%) 50.01% (G:16.54% B:1.94%)
Cubeless Equities -0.015 -0.001
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.004±0.003 (+0.002..+0.007)
Double/Take:-0.001 (-0.005)±0.003 (-0.003..+0.002)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.996)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.5%
Rollout details
41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90330709
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:99.5%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 hours 13 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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