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OLM 20141102A -- blot on 22-point safetied

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 6 November 2014, at 5:58 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20141102A -- some Q&D rollouts (Chuck Bower)





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 125
11 point match
pip: 158
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BCAB-AAcBb--cbcCb----:0:0:-1:00:3:4:0:11:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 81.110% (G:3.786% B:0.042%) 82.278% (G:3.567% B:0.036%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 18.890% (G:1.106% B:0.029%) 17.722% (G:1.305% B:0.035%)
Cubeless Equities +0.6505 +1.3716
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.9994 (-0.0006)±0.0029 (+0.9965..+1.0023)
Double/Take:+1.2601 (+0.2601)±0.0108 (+1.2492..+1.2709)
Double/Pass:+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62344806
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:65.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 04 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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