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Who Woulda And Coulda Known This?
Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 8 December 2014, at 5:26 p.m.
Six positions with rollout results are posted below. Position 1 occurred between Petko and me. I made the mistake of hitting (fourth best play), but Petko then made the much more costly mistake of fanning.
Position 1.
White is bulgari
score: 0
pip: 719 point match pip: 68
score: 2
Blue is peeverXGID=BCaBBBBBabbcdb:2:1:1:53:2:0:0:9:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 7/4 7/2 eq: +0.352
Player:
Opponent:74.26% (G:0.44% B:0.01%)
25.74% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.350...+0.354)  [100.0%]
Duration: 31.3 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 7/4 eq: +0.327 (0.025)
Player:
Opponent:72.16% (G:4.79% B:0.07%)
27.84% (G:6.88% B:0.15%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.326...+0.328)  [0.0%]
Duration: 51.5 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 6/3 eq: +0.325 (0.027)
Player:
Opponent:71.33% (G:3.50% B:0.04%)
28.67% (G:2.72% B:0.03%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.324...+0.326)  [0.0%]
Duration: 32.5 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 8/5 8/3* eq: +0.321 (0.031)
Player:
Opponent:72.83% (G:4.17% B:0.06%)
27.17% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.320...+0.323)  [0.0%]
Duration: 33.9 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 2.
White is bulgari
score: 0
pip: 709 point match pip: 68
score: 2
Blue is peeverXGID=BCaBBBBBabbcdb:2:1:1:53:2:0:0:9:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 8/5 8/3* eq: +0.331
Player:
Opponent:73.15% (G:3.63% B:0.06%)
26.85% (G:0.64% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.330...+0.332)  [100.0%]
Duration: 35.8 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 6/3 eq: +0.326 (0.005)
Player:
Opponent:71.26% (G:3.15% B:0.05%)
28.74% (G:2.86% B:0.07%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.325...+0.327)  [0.0%]
Duration: 35.8 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 7/4 eq: +0.324 (0.007)
Player:
Opponent:72.10% (G:4.07% B:0.08%)
27.90% (G:6.73% B:0.15%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.323...+0.325)  [0.0%]
Duration: 54.9 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 7/4 7/2 eq: +0.309 (0.022)
Player:
Opponent:72.65% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
27.35% (G:0.31% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.307...+0.310)  [0.0%]
Duration: 31.3 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 3.
White is bulgari
score: 2
pip: 719 point match pip: 68
score: 0
Blue is peeverXGID=BCaBBBBBabbcdb:2:1:1:53:0:2:0:9:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 8/5 8/3* eq: +0.438
Player:
Opponent:72.72% (G:4.42% B:0.04%)
27.28% (G:0.65% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.437...+0.439)  [100.0%]
Duration: 58.1 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 7/4 7/2 eq: +0.435 (0.003)
Player:
Opponent:74.24% (G:0.46% B:0.01%)
25.76% (G:0.30% B:0.00%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.434...+0.436)  [0.0%]
Duration: 34.2 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 7/4 eq: +0.412 (0.026)
Player:
Opponent:71.92% (G:5.14% B:0.05%)
28.08% (G:6.72% B:0.19%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.411...+0.412)  [0.0%]
Duration: 50.3 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 6/3 eq: +0.393 (0.045)
Player:
Opponent:71.04% (G:3.84% B:0.03%)
28.96% (G:2.56% B:0.06%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.392...+0.394)  [0.0%]
Duration: 33.3 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 4.
White is bulgari
score: 2
pip: 729 point match pip: 68
score: 0
Blue is peeverXGID=BCaBBBBBabbcdb:2:1:1:53:0:2:0:9:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 7/4 7/2 eq: +0.476
Player:
Opponent:76.01% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
23.99% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.475...+0.477)  [100.0%]
Duration: 37.2 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 8/5 8/3* eq: +0.458 (0.018)
Player:
Opponent:73.30% (G:5.19% B:0.04%)
26.70% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.457...+0.459)  [0.0%]
Duration: 58.4 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 7/4 eq: +0.425 (0.050)
Player:
Opponent:72.11% (G:5.84% B:0.04%)
27.89% (G:6.24% B:0.17%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.424...+0.426)  [0.0%]
Duration: 47.6 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 6/3 eq: +0.414 (0.062)
Player:
Opponent:71.68% (G:4.53% B:0.03%)
28.32% (G:2.43% B:0.04%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.413...+0.415)  [0.0%]
Duration: 34.1 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Position 5.
White is bulgari
score: 0
pip: 71Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 68
score: 0
Blue is peeverXGID=BCaBBBBBabbcdb:2:1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 7/4 7/2 eq: +0.404
Player:
Opponent:74.26% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
25.74% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.402...+0.405)  [100.0%]
Duration: 27.3 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 8/5 8/3* eq: +0.387 (0.016)
Player:
Opponent:72.68% (G:4.38% B:0.04%)
27.32% (G:0.64% B:0.00%)Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.386...+0.389)  [0.0%]
Duration: 51.9 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 7/4 eq: +0.378 (0.025)
Player:
Opponent:72.00% (G:5.02% B:0.04%)
28.00% (G:6.62% B:0.15%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.377...+0.380)  [0.0%]
Duration: 44.4 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 6/3 eq: +0.367 (0.037)
Player:
Opponent:71.20% (G:3.79% B:0.03%)
28.80% (G:2.77% B:0.03%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.366...+0.368)  [0.0%]
Duration: 29.9 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Position 6.
White is bulgari
score: 0
pip: 70Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 68
score: 0
Blue is peeverXGID=BCaBBBBBabbcdb:2:1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 53
1. Rollout^{1} 8/5 8/3* eq: +0.391
Player:
Opponent:73.03% (G:3.90% B:0.04%)
26.97% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.389...+0.393)  [100.0%]
Duration: 52.0 seconds2. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 7/4 eq: +0.370 (0.021)
Player:
Opponent:71.87% (G:4.32% B:0.04%)
28.13% (G:6.53% B:0.15%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.369...+0.371)  [0.0%]
Duration: 54.6 seconds3. Rollout^{1} 8/3* 6/3 eq: +0.367 (0.024)
Player:
Opponent:71.18% (G:3.35% B:0.03%)
28.82% (G:2.85% B:0.04%)Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.366...+0.368)  [0.0%]
Duration: 36.6 seconds4. Rollout^{1} 7/4 7/2 eq: +0.367 (0.025)
Player:
Opponent:72.63% (G:0.41% B:0.01%)
27.37% (G:0.30% B:0.00%)Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.365...+0.369)  [0.0%]
Duration: 27.7 seconds^{1} 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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