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Who Woulda And Coulda Known This?

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 8 December 2014, at 5:26 p.m.

Six positions with rollout results are posted below. Position 1 occurred between Petko and me. I made the mistake of hitting (fourth best play), but Petko then made the much more costly mistake of fanning.

Position 1.





White is bulgari

score: 0
pip: 71
9 point match
pip: 68
score: 2

Blue is peever
XGID=-BCaBBBBB----a------bbcdb-:2:-1:1:53:2:0:0:9:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout17/4 7/2eq: +0.352
Player:
Opponent:
74.26% (G:0.44% B:0.01%)
25.74% (G:0.32% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.350...+0.354) - [100.0%]
Duration: 31.3 seconds
2.Rollout18/3* 7/4eq: +0.327 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
72.16% (G:4.79% B:0.07%)
27.84% (G:6.88% B:0.15%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.326...+0.328) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51.5 seconds
3.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: +0.325 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:
71.33% (G:3.50% B:0.04%)
28.67% (G:2.72% B:0.03%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.324...+0.326) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32.5 seconds
4.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.321 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
72.83% (G:4.17% B:0.06%)
27.17% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.320...+0.323) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.9 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 2.





White is bulgari

score: 0
pip: 70
9 point match
pip: 68
score: 2

Blue is peever
XGID=-BCaBBBBB-----a-----bbcdb-:2:-1:1:53:2:0:0:9:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.331
Player:
Opponent:
73.15% (G:3.63% B:0.06%)
26.85% (G:0.64% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.330...+0.332) - [100.0%]
Duration: 35.8 seconds
2.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: +0.326 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
71.26% (G:3.15% B:0.05%)
28.74% (G:2.86% B:0.07%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.325...+0.327) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35.8 seconds
3.Rollout18/3* 7/4eq: +0.324 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
72.10% (G:4.07% B:0.08%)
27.90% (G:6.73% B:0.15%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.323...+0.325) - [0.0%]
Duration: 54.9 seconds
4.Rollout17/4 7/2eq: +0.309 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
72.65% (G:0.38% B:0.01%)
27.35% (G:0.31% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.307...+0.310) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31.3 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 3.





White is bulgari

score: 2
pip: 71
9 point match
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-BCaBBBBB----a------bbcdb-:2:-1:1:53:0:2:0:9:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.438
Player:
Opponent:
72.72% (G:4.42% B:0.04%)
27.28% (G:0.65% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.437...+0.439) - [100.0%]
Duration: 58.1 seconds
2.Rollout17/4 7/2eq: +0.435 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
74.24% (G:0.46% B:0.01%)
25.76% (G:0.30% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.434...+0.436) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.2 seconds
3.Rollout18/3* 7/4eq: +0.412 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:
71.92% (G:5.14% B:0.05%)
28.08% (G:6.72% B:0.19%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.411...+0.412) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50.3 seconds
4.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: +0.393 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent:
71.04% (G:3.84% B:0.03%)
28.96% (G:2.56% B:0.06%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.392...+0.394) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.3 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 4.





White is bulgari

score: 2
pip: 72
9 point match
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-BCaBBBBB---a-------bbcdb-:2:-1:1:53:0:2:0:9:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout17/4 7/2eq: +0.476
Player:
Opponent:
76.01% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
23.99% (G:0.34% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.475...+0.477) - [100.0%]
Duration: 37.2 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.458 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:
73.30% (G:5.19% B:0.04%)
26.70% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.457...+0.459) - [0.0%]
Duration: 58.4 seconds
3.Rollout18/3* 7/4eq: +0.425 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
72.11% (G:5.84% B:0.04%)
27.89% (G:6.24% B:0.17%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.424...+0.426) - [0.0%]
Duration: 47.6 seconds
4.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: +0.414 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:
71.68% (G:4.53% B:0.03%)
28.32% (G:2.43% B:0.04%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.413...+0.415) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.1 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 5.





White is bulgari

score: 0
pip: 71
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-BCaBBBBB----a------bbcdb-:2:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout17/4 7/2eq: +0.404
Player:
Opponent:
74.26% (G:0.45% B:0.01%)
25.74% (G:0.33% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.402...+0.405) - [100.0%]
Duration: 27.3 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.387 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
72.68% (G:4.38% B:0.04%)
27.32% (G:0.64% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.386...+0.389) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51.9 seconds
3.Rollout18/3* 7/4eq: +0.378 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
72.00% (G:5.02% B:0.04%)
28.00% (G:6.62% B:0.15%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.377...+0.380) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44.4 seconds
4.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: +0.367 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent:
71.20% (G:3.79% B:0.03%)
28.80% (G:2.77% B:0.03%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.366...+0.368) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29.9 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Position 6.





White is bulgari

score: 0
pip: 70
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 68
score: 0

Blue is peever
XGID=-BCaBBBBB-----a-----bbcdb-:2:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.391
Player:
Opponent:
73.03% (G:3.90% B:0.04%)
26.97% (G:0.63% B:0.01%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.389...+0.393) - [100.0%]
Duration: 52.0 seconds
2.Rollout18/3* 7/4eq: +0.370 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
71.87% (G:4.32% B:0.04%)
28.13% (G:6.53% B:0.15%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.369...+0.371) - [0.0%]
Duration: 54.6 seconds
3.Rollout18/3* 6/3eq: +0.367 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
71.18% (G:3.35% B:0.03%)
28.82% (G:2.85% B:0.04%)
Conf.: 0.001 (+0.366...+0.368) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.6 seconds
4.Rollout17/4 7/2eq: +0.367 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:
72.63% (G:0.41% B:0.01%)
27.37% (G:0.30% B:0.00%)
Conf.: 0.002 (+0.365...+0.369) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27.7 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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