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Winning PR vs Losing PR--one thing impossible to measure

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Saturday, 30 January 2016, at 6:26 p.m.

In Response To: Winning PR vs Losing PR--one thing impossible to measure (Phil Simborg)

We have to assume that in macro perspective the difficulty of positions/matches is a normal distribution, so when You get a lucky but difficult roll, You will misplay just about the same % as when You get an unlucky difficult roll. Same assumptions for easy rolls.

Then we can take a luck defined by XG as a factor.

On a side note, from my 196 matches (against humans) I got on XG, my PR is 2,4% worse in matches won vs. lost ones (110 won, 86 lost). I'd expect this coefficient to vary between players, and be one of the parameters that could define a "play style" of somebody. That would work for me, since I do feel more confident about my cube handling when trailing and have to go aggresively, than when I'm defending.

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