Here's a position I struggled with in today's chouette, and got badly wrong over the board (I made the 5th play in the list). After seeing the rollout, it's easy to write a caption that affirms the right play, but I'm finding it hard to extract a lesson I can apply to future situations. I'd appreciate hearing how people would think this through 'over the board.'
         
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 153 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 127
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aaBB-CB-A-A-dB---b-cbbA-A-:2:-1:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 8/6 5/1* | eq: +0.426 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.37% (G:42.95% B:0.64%)
37.63% (G:11.18% B:0.75%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 22/18 8/6 | eq: +0.348 (-0.077) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.79% (G:34.94% B:1.23%)
38.21% (G:10.53% B:0.59%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 24/22 5/1* | eq: +0.337 (-0.088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.00% (G:39.78% B:0.60%)
40.00% (G:11.29% B:0.61%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 13/11 5/1* | eq: +0.314 (-0.111) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.18% (G:41.92% B:0.66%)
40.82% (G:14.70% B:1.67%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller++ | 24/22 10/6 | eq: +0.296 (-0.129) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.79% (G:34.01% B:0.99%)
40.21% (G:9.84% B:0.46%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10