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BGonline.org Forums
Bearoff checker play (detailed lesson in response) spoiler RO at the end
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Bearoff checker play (detailed lesson in response) spoiler RO at the end (Max Levenstein)
Date: Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 11:06 p.m.
The table below should give an idea of when and by how much one play is better than the other. For each of White's rolls, the table gives Blue's Match Equity (ME) having played 4/off or 3/off 3/*2, and the weighted difference (nondoublets being counted twice) between the two.
Match Equities are from 40 Gnubg 2-ply 7776 trial rollouts.
White's Response 4/off ME 3/off 3/2* ME Weighted (dis)advantage for 3/off 3/2* comment 44 75.351 87.777 12.426 fan with 4-4 is very big 41 82.524 87.777 10.506 fan is big 31 83.064 86.319 06.510 31 is barely better for White than fanning 11 83.064 87.777 04.713 fan is big but tiny 11 is bad anyway 51 81.824 83.582 03.516 from gaining ~0.5 rolls and ~1 crossover 43 80.588 82.342 03.508 (" ") 64 77.652 79.335 03.366 (" ") 53 79.482 81.142 03.320 (" ") 61 80.686 82.342 03.312 (" ") 63 78.470 80.089 03.238 (" ") 54 78.667 80.176 03.018 (" ") 65 76.880 78.383 03.006 (" ") 33 76.245 77.418 01.173 (" ") 62 79.746 79.834 00.176 average racing number; hits but leaves 18 return hits from the bar 55 75.118 75.174 00.056 still some slight gammons chances 66 75.118 75.140 00.022 2 doublets vs. 54 still wins a gammon 21 83.017 80.955 (04.124) worst racing number; hits but leaves 18 return hits from the bar 22 82.506 77.047 (05.459) numbers that hit and safety mean fewer gammons lost 52 80.686 77.486 (06.400) (" ") 42 81.824 77.480 (08.688) (" ") 32 83.130 75.549 (15.162) the small racing number 32 hits and efficiently covers
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