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Neil and Ray etc

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 7 April 2014, at 7:10 p.m.

In Response To: Neil and Ray etc (Seth)

The problem is that when you double your opp will take and spin it back for match. He can win this match 7.7% of the time when he passes. If you do a little math looking ahead a couple of rolls and add in a few % for what ifs you'll see that he wins this game a few percent more than 7.7%. To put the match on the line with a huge cube when you are over 90% if you play cautiously and cube him out after you clear, you need to be quite close to his take point to justify cubing him into match.

Here I think you're that far enough from his TP and he retains a couple/few % chances after you lose your market..so I don't think a cube is technically correct.

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