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Denmark v. The World - All Match Files -- VR results

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Wednesday, 23 April 2014, at 11:25 a.m.

In Response To: Denmark v. The World - All Match Files--what about luck? (phil simborg)

I made the calculations of point using VR for DMP, Speed, Single and Double.

According to the game posted by Stick, the World should have come to the final game leading 16-15 (match to 27).

However with the PR point (I assume this had nothing to do with luck, which I know can be argued) it makes it 17-15.

So the world got 33.87% MWC luck ( 93.22% [-5/-17] - 59.35% [-10/-12] ) Add to that the luck of the last game (5.81%), that gives 39.68%.

So the world was 60.32% favorite to win according to VR.

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