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oops, i miscounted the rolls.

Posted By: scotty
Date: Tuesday, 8 July 2014, at 4:31 a.m.

In Response To: last roll situation (scotty)

in the analysis below, i miscounted the leaders chances of getting off in one roll. The leader actually has 23 shot to get both men off on his next shake. I originally counted 24 shots.

the leader's winning chances are 5/6 x 23/36 + 55/1296 for CPW of 57.48%

The trailer's winning chances are 42.52% if he cubes.

Messages In This Thread

• last roll situation
  scotty -- Sunday, 6 July 2014, at 1:01 p.m.
  • last roll situation
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 6 July 2014, at 2:21 p.m.
    • last roll situation
      roadkillbooks -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 4:37 a.m.
      • last roll situation
        scotty -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 5:31 a.m.
        • last roll situation
          Bob Koca -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 6:14 a.m.
          • last roll situation
            scotty -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 9:26 a.m.
            • last roll situation
              Bob Koca -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 4:12 p.m.
              • last roll situation
                scotty -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 4:42 p.m.
                • last roll situation
                  scotty -- Tuesday, 8 July 2014, at 3:23 a.m.
                  • last roll situation
                    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 8 July 2014, at 2:21 p.m.
                • oops, i miscounted the rolls.
                  scotty -- Tuesday, 8 July 2014, at 4:31 a.m.
  • last roll situation
    neilkaz -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 4:41 p.m.
    • last roll situation
      scotty -- Monday, 7 July 2014, at 5:36 p.m.
  • common sense explanation
    David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 8 July 2014, at 4:53 a.m.
  • now try this one
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 8 July 2014, at 2:36 p.m.
    • hope i have the solution
      scotty -- Wednesday, 9 July 2014, at 2:28 a.m.
      • hope i have the solution
        Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 9 July 2014, at 3:34 a.m.
    • now try this one
      scotty -- Wednesday, 9 July 2014, at 4:50 a.m.
      • now try this one
        Sam Pottle -- Tuesday, 15 July 2014, at 2:11 a.m.