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The point of my post

Posted By: Mochy
Date: Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 6:54 a.m.

In Response To: Bear off cube action (Mochy)

Over the board I figured out my take point is around 5%.I also miraculously figured out I have around 8% (which was correct).

Then I tried to figure out the real take point with my opponent.Then I thought 100elo (3.3PR?) difference easily make up the difference but it wasn't! If I had dropped the cube it would be 7 away- 22 away, which is a long way to go still, yet it isn't enough to push up the take point from 5% to 8%. (It push up only to 7.7%) I used Jacobs & Trice MWC table for 100elo difference.

Isn't it surprising? I would be happy if you give me an insight of MWC table between unequaled skill players.

The below is XG analysis. I took the cube over the board as my opponent is a good player, then I lost, then I regret my taking.




White is Player 2

score: 10
pip: 14
25 point match
pip: 23
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--B-AC---------------c--b-:3:-1:-1:00:3:10:0:25:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 91.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 91.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 8.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 8.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.839 +0.929
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.876 (-0.010)
Redouble/Take:+0.886
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.114)
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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