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The point of my post

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 7:17 a.m.

In Response To: The point of my post (Timothy Chow)

I can imagine simulating a match by taking XG's Elo calc estimate of 53% GWC for 3PR stronger player, scaling win/g/bg chances for both players, taking rollour stats for starting pos to get single/g vs. cash/cubes breakdown and iterate games with this stat model.

Homever, this would still be a bot's simulation.

For humans there are other effects to take into account. For starters, one's PR can be getting worse when going into gammonish positions.

Messages In This Thread

• Bear off cube action
  Mochy -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 7:12 a.m.
  • Bear off cube action
    Stick -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 1:43 p.m.
    • Bear off cube action
      Stick -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 9:46 p.m.
    • Bear off cube action
      Mochy -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 6:32 a.m.
      • Bear off cube action
        Stick -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 10:31 p.m.
  • Bear off cube action
    garyo -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 6:51 p.m.
  • Bear off cube action
    Keene -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 7:28 p.m.
  • Bear off cube action
    ah_clem -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 8:08 p.m.
  • Bear off cube action
    Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 29 February 2016, at 10:48 p.m.
  • The point of my post
    Mochy -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 6:54 a.m.
    • The point of my post
      christian munk-christensen -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 7:20 a.m.
      • The point of my post
        Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 7:22 a.m.
        • The point of my post
          Dmitriy Obukhov -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 4:45 p.m.
          • The point of my post
            Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 5:07 p.m.
          • The point of my post
            Mochy -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 6:12 a.m.
            • The point of my post
              Mochy -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 6:15 a.m.
    • The point of my post
      Maik Stiebler -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 12:56 p.m.
      • The point of my post
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 1 March 2016, at 11:33 p.m.
        • The point of my post
          Maik Stiebler -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 9:20 a.m.
          • The point of my post
            Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 3:19 p.m.
            • The point of my post
              Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 7:17 a.m.
              • The point of my post
                Karol Szczerek -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 7:44 a.m.