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GNU rollout for 5-25

Posted By: mamabear
Date: Monday, 12 September 2016, at 11:00 p.m.

In Response To: GNU rollout for 5-25 (Philippe Michel)

I hope this prints OK but if it doesn't, here is the executive summary: I re-ran Trice 5-25 the same 5184 trials, but 3ply/+ instead of 2ply/3ply. The take is now up to .074, about the same as you and Jeremy got. With No Jacoby, I am still getting that it is a double, with the error of missing it .022. When I ran it with Jacoby, it was about the same, .021.

This might help us understand why Snowie 3 came up with something so different, since its best rollout settings may have been below the accuracy of XG's 2ply/3ply. If we follow the trend, the take might disappear and produce the pass that Walter got.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
pip: 67
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BbbDED----------bbcbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.07% (G:39.42% B:3.19%) 60.50% (G:39.33% B:3.25%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.93% (G:0.03% B:0.00%) 39.50% (G:0.03% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.647 +1.271
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.904 (-0.022)±0.005 (+0.899..+0.909)
Double/Take:+0.926±0.009 (+0.916..+0.935)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.074)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 82469182
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 56 seconds

Jeremy says take by .078. Book says pass.

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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