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The Backgammon Solution

Posted By: Rick Janowski
Date: Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 7:18 a.m.

In Response To: The Backgammon Solution *SPOILER ALERT* (Bob Koca)

Indeed, in effect pre-switching! Nice illustration!

Still, it seems very difficult to demonstrate that the logic in calculating the expected value of relative equity in the unopened envelope is inherently wrong. Similarly, this is the case for computations calculating the risk-reward ratio. Where precisely does the logical process go wrong?

Messages In This Thread

• Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
  Rick Janowski -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 8:06 p.m.
  • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
    KenB -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 8:30 p.m.
  • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
    Tom Keith -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 8:46 p.m.
  • The Backgammon Solution *SPOILER ALERT*
    Fender -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 8:58 p.m.
    • The Backgammon Solution *SPOILER ALERT*
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 4:25 a.m.
      • The Backgammon Solution
        Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 7:18 a.m.
        • The Backgammon Solution
          Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 9:21 a.m.
          • The Backgammon Solution
            Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 9:45 a.m.
            • The Backgammon Solution
              Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 10:27 a.m.
              • The Backgammon Solution
                Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 11:18 a.m.
                • The Backgammon Solution
                  Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 11:40 a.m.
                  • The Backgammon Solution
                    Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 12:15 p.m.
        • The Backgammon Solution
          Bob Koca -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 3:32 p.m.
          • The Backgammon Solution
            Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 5:43 p.m.
            • The Backgammon Solution
              Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 6:10 p.m.
              • The Backgammon Solution
                Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 6:41 p.m.
            • The Backgammon Solution
              Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 6:41 p.m.
              • The Backgammon Solution
                Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 8:11 p.m.
                • The Backgammon Solution
                  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 10:01 p.m.
                • Another worked example
                  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 10:48 p.m.
                  • Another worked example
                    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 11:42 p.m.
            • The Backgammon Solution
              Bob Koca -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 7:15 p.m.
              • The Backgammon Solution
                Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 7:57 p.m.
                • The Backgammon Solution
                  Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 17 October 2016, at 7:03 a.m.
  • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 9:09 p.m.
    • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
      Rick Janowski -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 10:32 p.m.
      • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
        Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 12:52 a.m.
        • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
          Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 1:22 a.m.
      • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 5:07 p.m.
        • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
          Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 6:24 p.m.
    • Equity calculation question?
      Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 16 October 2016, at 9:30 a.m.
  • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
    Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 15 October 2016, at 9:39 p.m.
  • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 17 October 2016, at 6:15 p.m.
  • Tournament Prize Money Conundrum
    Stein Kulseth -- Tuesday, 18 October 2016, at 8:45 p.m.