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Hit or not

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 30 November 2009, at 7:19 a.m.

In Response To: Hit or not (Phil Simborg)

What drives me crazy is that the numbers don't seem to make sense once I run it.

They make sense if you remember that the bot is giving you apples and oranges: a "cubeless" breakdown of game outcomes, which add up to a "cubeless" equity which the analysis might not show you (although a rollout should), and a cubeful equity that is the sum of of actual game outcomes, which the bot does not show you.

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