21$-33 / Opener will be busy next roll covering the blot on the five. Any hitting sevens will result in a double shot at the five point slot. Leave the indirect shot by playing 33C {Cross 24-21(2), 8-5(2)}.
61P-33 / Making the 21 point anchor is obvious. Although it is close, 33B {Both 24-21(2), 13-10(2)} is best. Opener's sevens aren't very strong, so we don't want to leave indirect seven shots. Note that it is slightly better to make the three point avoiding blots than the five.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 164 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 167 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-b----E-C---dEa--c-da---B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 33 |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 8/5(2) | eq: +0.1864 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.41% (G:15.99% B:0.68%) 46.59% (G:9.79% B:0.41%) | Conf.: ±0.0036 (+0.1828...+0.1900) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 hours 42 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 13/10(2) | eq: +0.1556 (-0.0307) |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.27% (G:14.01% B:0.57%) 46.73% (G:9.92% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ±0.0030 (+0.1526...+0.1587) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 54 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout2 | 24/21(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.1501 (-0.0363) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.91% (G:13.89% B:0.57%) 47.09% (G:9.69% B:0.38%) | Conf.: ±0.0040 (+0.1461...+0.1541) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 28 minutes |
|
4. | Rollout3 | 8/5(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.1386 (-0.0478) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.86% (G:18.71% B:1.21%) 47.14% (G:14.50% B:0.76%) | Conf.: ±0.0057 (+0.1329...+0.1443) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes |
|
|
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18160289 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
2 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18160289 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
3 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 18160289 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 160 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 167 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-b----E-C---dE---bbe----B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:1:0:10 |
Blue to play 33 |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 13/10(2) | eq: +0.1738 |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.59% (G:13.96% B:0.50%) 46.41% (G:8.89% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ±0.0021 (+0.1718...+0.1759) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 day 13 hours 24 minutes |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.1645 (-0.0093) |
| Player: Opponent: | 53.27% (G:13.94% B:0.52%) 46.73% (G:8.96% B:0.34%) | Conf.: ±0.0021 (+0.1624...+0.1665) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 day 12 hours 07 minutes |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 24/21(2) 8/5(2) | eq: +0.1555 (-0.0183) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.69% (G:15.13% B:0.50%) 47.31% (G:9.06% B:0.37%) | Conf.: ±0.0021 (+0.1534...+0.1576) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 days 02 hours 40 minutes |
|
4. | Rollout2 | 8/5(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.1319 (-0.0419) |
| Player: Opponent: | 52.24% (G:18.28% B:0.92%) 47.76% (G:13.49% B:0.71%) | Conf.: ±0.0055 (+0.1265...+0.1374) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 hours 14 minutes |
|
|
1 62208 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 57432044 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
2 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 57432044 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10