As an aid to understanding how 33 should be played as a reply, I found it useful to consider how it would be played as an opening roll.
The result goes against one of David’s rules of thumb. Making the 5pt, and leaving an unduplicated 7 with which the opponent can hit, is to be avoided on the 2nd roll. On the 1st, however, evidently it is perfectly fine.
David, have you given any thought to why A (Attack) = 8/5(2) 6/3(2) is so strong in the reference position below?
Mike
        
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 167 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 167
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-C---eE---c-e----B-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 8/5(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.3985 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.16% (G:20.63% B:0.97%)
41.84% (G:10.26% B:0.47%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 24/21(2) 13/10(2) | eq: +0.3464 (-0.0521) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.59% (G:15.72% B:0.58%)
42.41% (G:7.77% B:0.25%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 24/21(2) 8/5(2) | eq: +0.3338 (-0.0647) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.64% (G:17.16% B:0.61%)
43.36% (G:8.03% B:0.27%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 13/10(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.3311 (-0.0674) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.10% (G:18.23% B:1.00%)
42.90% (G:10.70% B:0.44%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller++ | 24/21(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0.3294 (-0.0691) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.09% (G:15.39% B:0.62%)
42.91% (G:7.87% B:0.25%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller++ | 13/10(2) 8/5(2) | eq: +0.2790 (-0.1194) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.39% (G:19.36% B:0.96%)
44.61% (G:11.35% B:0.54%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller++ | 24/18(2) | eq: +0.2394 (-0.1591) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.05% (G:12.49% B:0.38%)
43.95% (G:8.72% B:0.28%) | |
|
Rollout by Taper_Mike
2014-Jan-??
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
33-n-tm.xgp
n[] "<=
n[A B52 C65 N67 E69 O119 @159] "&e |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10