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64S-22E-44

Posted By: Ian Dunstan
Date: Tuesday, 26 August 2014, at 10:29 a.m.

In Response To: 64S-22E-44 (David Presser)

The prime candidate is 18/14 13/5 9/5, the 5pt is the 5pt. After grabbing the 5pt with three 4's then 18/14 seems better to me than 24/20 or the ugly 6/2.

Is there something better? After 13/9, which seems obligatory to me with one 4, then swapping the 9pt for the 5pt is not necessarily a huge gain with two more 4's (since white has our 3pt). That leaves three more 4's to play if we just make the 9pt. We are ahead in the race so 18/10 with two more 4's looks reasonable then either 24/20 or 13/9. 13/9 doesn't do much for us, but 24/20 is perhaps a better try at running but more dangerous. I would try 24/20 18/10 13/9 of these two plays.

Another try is the total racing play of 24/16 18/14 13/9. It looks wrong to place 2 blots in front of a stacked opponent midpoint. However getting missed is really good for blue and if one man gets hit the other one can probably scamper somewhere safely next roll. This play doesn't leave a man back on the 24pt or the the 20pt so it might be right to just race.

I think I would try 24/20 18/10 13/9.

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