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Got Variance?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 21 May 2010, at 1:59 a.m.

In Response To: 5K GNU rollout (Timothy Chow)

Cause I sure do. I thought this rollout was 5k but it's only 1k. Still, a great example of the amount of variance left in a 1k.

gnubg	162
user	161
Position ID: 4HPhASiYZ/ABMA Match ID: cIkNAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	24/21(2) 8/5(2)	+0.5940
			0.6277 0.2083 0.0071 - 0.3723 0.0714 0.0029 +0.3967 +0.5940 0.0014 0.0020 0.0005 - 0.0014 0.0012 0.0002 0.0037 0.0106
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1021079701 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	8/5(2) 6/3(2)	+0.5291 ( -0.0649)
			0.6191 0.2365 0.0110 - 0.3809 0.0992 0.0044 +0.3821 +0.5291 0.0015 0.0021 0.0007 - 0.0015 0.0014 0.0004 0.0039 0.0118
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1021079701 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Third roll double 3's
  Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 2:17 a.m.
  • Third roll double 3's
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 3:07 a.m.
    • Third roll double 3's
      lenny -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 3:30 a.m.
      • Third roll double 3's
        Bob Koca -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 5:33 p.m.
        • Third roll double 3's
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 5:36 p.m.
        • Third roll double 3's
          Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 6:35 p.m.
          • Third roll double 3's
            lenny -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 8:19 p.m.
  • Third roll double 3's
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 3:17 a.m.
  • Third roll double 3's
    bob koca -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 4:20 a.m.
    • Third roll double 3's
      Bob Koca -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 5:31 p.m.
      • Third roll double 3's
        Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 6:04 p.m.
      • 42P-32D-33 and 42P-43D-33, analysis
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 6:33 p.m.
  • Third roll double 3's
    Stick -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 5:35 a.m.
    • Third roll double 3's
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 3:25 p.m.
  • 42P-41S-33 and 42P-21S-33 (Bot Info Included)
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 5:44 a.m.
    • 42P-41S-33 and 42P-21S-33 (Bot Info Included)
      johnk -- Thursday, 20 May 2010, at 6:35 p.m.
  • 5K GNU rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 12:00 a.m.
    • 5K GNU rollout
      Chuck Bower -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 12:34 a.m.
      • 5K GNU rollout
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 2:08 a.m.
    • Got Variance?
      Stick -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 1:59 a.m.
      • Got Variance?
        Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 3:25 a.m.
        • Got Variance?
          Stick -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 3:38 a.m.
        • Got Variance?
          Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 6:10 a.m.
          • Got Variance?
            bob koca -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 7:01 a.m.
            • Got Variance?
              Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 8:45 p.m.
              • Got Variance?
                Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 9:06 p.m.
                • Got Variance?
                  Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 10:41 p.m.
                  • Got Variance?
                    Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 11:00 p.m.
                    • Got Variance?
                      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 11:30 p.m.
                      • Got Variance?
                        Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 12:58 a.m.
                        • Got Variance?
                          Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 25 May 2010, at 2:56 p.m.
                          • Got Variance?
                            Tom Keith -- Tuesday, 25 May 2010, at 4:53 p.m.
                            • Got Variance?
                              Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 25 May 2010, at 9:35 p.m.
            • Got Variance? I did that test
              eXtreme Gammon -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 12:00 a.m.
            • Got Variance?
              Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 5:29 a.m.
          • Got Variance?
            Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 4:02 p.m.
            • Got Variance?
              Nack Ballard -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 5:52 a.m.