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63S-31P-62 — No Jacoby, No Beavers — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 5 December 2013, at 9:35 a.m.

In Response To: 63S 53P 62 (onur alan)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 163 Unlimited Game pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C-A-eD---bAdb---A-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.	Rollout1	24/18 13/11	eq: +0.1921
	Player: Opponent: 54.73% (G:12.37% B:0.39%) 45.27% (G:9.93% B:0.37%) Conf.: ±0.0053 (+0.1869...+0.1974) - [100.0%] Duration: 53 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/18 10/8	eq: +0.1604 (-0.0317)
	Player: Opponent: 54.21% (G:12.13% B:0.38%) 45.79% (G:10.88% B:0.35%) Conf.: ±0.0052 (+0.1553...+0.1656) - [0.0%] Duration: 49 minutes 44 seconds
3.	Rollout2	18/10	eq: +0.0526 (-0.1395)
	Player: Opponent: 51.79% (G:12.46% B:0.68%) 48.21% (G:13.62% B:0.45%) Conf.: ±0.0072 (+0.0454...+0.0598) - [0.0%] Duration: 36 minutes 09 seconds
4.	XG Roller++	24/18 8/6	eq: +0.0512 (-0.1409)
	Player: Opponent: 51.49% (G:11.21% B:0.31%) 48.51% (G:10.83% B:0.37%)
5.	XG Roller++	24/18 6/4	eq: +0.0144 (-0.1777)
	Player: Opponent: 50.96% (G:10.78% B:0.32%) 49.04% (G:11.94% B:0.40%)
6.	XG Roller++	10/4 6/4	eq: -0.0072 (-0.1994)
	Player: Opponent: 50.05% (G:13.94% B:0.70%) 49.95% (G:14.54% B:0.53%)
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31697384 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31697384 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2013-Nov-28 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658 63S-31P-62-n-tm.xgp n[S B32 p140] "<=7*5 n[S B21 p120] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

63S-31P-62 — Unlimited Games

Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Link
GnuBg 0.xx 2-ply Trunc	733999463	+125.736	n[S B18 p107] /0.360t	Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval	[XGR++ seed]	+171.9	n[S B21 p120] "&e	Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	31697384	+192.1	n[S B32 p140] "<=7*5	Taper_Mike (above)

Key: B = Both [24/18, 10/8], P = Point [10/4, 6/4], p = [18/10], S = Split [24/18, 13/11]

Explanation of nacbracs

Making the 4pt fared so poorly in XGR++ that I did not bother rolling it out. As Onur and Igor both pointed out, making an advanced anchor against an opponent who just made his 5pt is much better that trying to match primes with him by making your 4pt.

Mike

Messages In This Thread

• 63S 53P 62
  onur alan -- Wednesday, 27 November 2013, at 8:43 p.m.
  • 63S 53P 62
    Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 4:05 a.m.
    • 63S 53P 62
      Stick -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 6:24 a.m.
    • 63S 53P 62
      onur alan -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 8:09 a.m.
      • 63S-53P-62
        Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 7:09 p.m.
        • 63S-53P-62
          Igor -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 8:10 p.m.
          • 63S-53P-62
            Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 9:26 p.m.
        • 63S-53P-62
          onur alan -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 9:52 p.m.
        • 63S-53P-62 RO with jacoby and beaver
          onur alan -- Friday, 29 November 2013, at 8:20 p.m.
          • 63S-53P-62 at the California State Championship
            Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 8 December 2013, at 10:12 p.m.
            • 63S-53P-62 at the California State Championship
              Dmitriy Obukhov -- Sunday, 8 December 2013, at 10:15 p.m.
    • 63S 53P 62
      Igor -- Thursday, 28 November 2013, at 5:26 p.m.
  • 63S-31P-62 — No Jacoby, No Beavers — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
    Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 5 December 2013, at 9:35 a.m.
  • 63S-53P-62 — No Jacoby, No Beavers — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
    Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 5 December 2013, at 9:45 a.m.
  • 63S 53P 62
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 2:44 p.m.
    • 63S 53P 62
      Stick -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 8:02 p.m.
      • 63S 53P 62
        Coolrey -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 8:10 p.m.
    • Compare to making your 5 pt
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 10 December 2013, at 8:15 p.m.
    • 63S 53P 62
      lenny -- Wednesday, 11 December 2013, at 2:51 a.m.