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Backgammon Boot Camp #1-21 (High anchors and holding games)

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 20 January 2015, at 10:29 a.m.

In Response To: Backgammon Boot Camp #1-21 (High anchors and holding games) (Stick)

I don't like where the cube is in this problem.

It's not totally implausible. Just imagine the position was something like this right before Blue rolled a set.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 102
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 109
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BABBBbB--a-B-Bb--bb-bbb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 56.628% (G:11.768% B:0.263%) 56.412% (G:12.001% B:0.283%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 43.372% (G:13.102% B:0.273%) 43.588% (G:13.369% B:0.258%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.1191 +0.2296
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.2464
Double/Beaver:-0.0199 (-0.2663)
Double/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.7536)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 20.7%

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Mike

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