[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

A Classic Choice

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Sunday, 27 December 2015, at 1:10 p.m.

In Response To: A Classic Choice (Stick)

For the hit, I'd try the following:

a/ opp hits, we dance (5 games) - opp is a slight favourite, say 60% - 2 games for us

b/ opp hits, we enter (6 games) - opp is a slight dog, say 40% - 3.5 games for us

c/ opp dances, we cover (6 games) - opp is almost dead - 5.5 games for us

a + b + c = 11/17 games or 2/3

d/ opp dances, we don't cover (other 19 games) - apply above cases again, so we win 2/3 out of 19 for additional 12.5 games

a + b + c + d gives 23.5 games for slightly over 65%

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.