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BGonline.org Forums
Short race evaluation? - "ROLLOUT"
Posted By: Karol Szczerek In Response To: Short race evaluation? - "ROLLOUT" (Karol Szczerek)
Date: Tuesday, 2 May 2017, at 1:15 p.m.
Sorry Timothy, I've read your EPCs the other way. Anyway, 30 vs 27 for the doubler would mislead you, too. In short races 10% EPC lead seems to give ca. 80% GWC. A 4 pip deficit would give about 50%. So 24.5 vs 27 would be 80%, and 31 vs 27 would be 50%, so a pip is worth 30% (from 80 - 50) / 6.5 (from 31 - 24.5) = about 4,5%. So you 30 vs 27 would give you about 55% GWC for the doubler.
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