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GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 11:33 p.m.

In Response To: GNU rollout (Petter Bengtsson)

So 32.0% wins and 11.1% gammons for the 8/1 play.

Looking at Snowie, the takepoint is 27.0% and the gammon value is 0.46. 0.46 * 11.1% = 5.1%. Adding that to the basic takepoint we get a gammon adjusted takepoint of 32.1%. So using the Snowie MET, this should be a tiny pass.

Snowie uses 31.5% ME at -2,-1C, while G11 uses 31.9% This small difference is apparently enough to make this a Take for GNU.

So will your typical WC human playing an equally skilled player extract maximum equity at GG to allow a take here (or will his opponent bleed away even more equity at GS to make it a bigger take)? No idea where a practical human vs human match equity table would fall.

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