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GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Friday, 10 July 2009, at 12:46 a.m.

In Response To: GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I believe that Snowie's MET was calculated like the Woolsey table, but using a straight 26% gammon rate.

I agree with your comments about the stronger player tending to take at this score, since he will stand a better chance than the MET assumes of winning 2 consecutive games if this one does not work out.

I am curious about G11. It was derived based on rollouts at various match scores. What MET was used for those rollouts? Presumably not G11 since it didn't exist yet. Have those rollouts been repeated with the G11 table to see if the results change? Or was G11 actually obtained by an iterative process feeding back the interim tables until convergance was achieved?

Messages In This Thread

• Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1
  Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 6:33 p.m.
  • Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1
    David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 9:01 p.m.
    • Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1
      Keene -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 9:19 p.m.
  • Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1
    Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 9:38 p.m.
  • Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1
    Coolrey -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 9:45 p.m.
    • Luckbox musings
      adambulldog -- Wednesday, 8 July 2009, at 10:18 p.m.
  • Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1-- OTB
    Bill Riles -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 2:27 p.m.
    • Rollout in progress
      David Rockwell -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 2:52 p.m.
    • Novi Consolation Final -- Critical Juncture -- Position 1-- OTB
      Keene -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 3:15 p.m.
  • GNU rollout
    Petter Bengtsson -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 5:13 p.m.
    • GNU rollout
      adambulldog -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 8:15 p.m.
    • SE's?
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 9:35 p.m.
    • GNU rollout
      Petter Bengtsson -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 9:42 p.m.
    • GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion
      Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 11:33 p.m.
      • GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 9 July 2009, at 11:49 p.m.
        • GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion
          Rich Munitz -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 12:46 a.m.
          • GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 12:51 a.m.
          • GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion
            David Rockwell -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 1:00 a.m.
            • GNU rollout - another MET based difference of opinion
              Chuck Bower -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 2:04 p.m.
          • Snowie MET sucks like all MET's calc using 100% cube efficiency *NM*
            neilkaz -- Friday, 10 July 2009, at 3:16 a.m.