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BGonline.org Forums
Listen to XG or not?
Posted By: Maik Stiebler In Response To: Listen to XG or not? (Mislav Kovacic)
Date: Tuesday, 27 October 2015, at 10:45 a.m.
Let's see if you can trust the Jac100 MET for this particular match score and opponent. Comparing with the Kazaross XG2 table, it assumes that after passing you will be outplaying your opponent from 2a:4a in the rest of the match for 6.43% MWC on average. After taking, if there will be another game, it will be either 2a:3a for 4.65% MWC of outplay in the rest of the match or 2a:C for 1.24%.
If those are the correct proportions for your particular match-up, you can tell best. I would think that usually, there is not that much more error opportunity from 2a:4a than from 2a:3a, and that the figure for 2a:C is much too low (note that in the Jacobs table for equal matches the trailer's MWC is given as only 31% - I think that pre-modern view is inherited to some extent by the fish tables).
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