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Cube action ATS?

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 17 September 2013, at 8:50 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (HOMINID)

"John kindly dropped the risk reward figures onto the page. It would be interesting to know how he arrived at these over the table."

You're leading 4-0 to 7, own a 2-cube, and are thinking about redoubling in a last roll position. The minimum doubling point is risk/risk+gain.

Don't redouble and lose makes the score 4-2 with 65% MWC. Do redouble and lose ties the score at 4-4 with 50% MWC.

So the risk is 15%.

Now the gain.

Don't redouble and win makes it 6-0 Crawford with 91% MWC. Do redouble and win wins the match with 100% MWC.

The gain is then 9%.

So the min redoubling point is 15/15+9.

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