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Flaw in PR / Is this wrong?

Posted By: Rod
Date: Thursday, 19 December 2013, at 8:52 p.m.

In Response To: Flaw in PR / Is this wrong? (christian munk-christensen)

Again, 2.2 was due to the repeats from that repeater. Xavier questions whether that should even count in PR.

Sometimes it is less about whether there is gain than what the likelihood of gain is, which can't really be measured - it is something that only appears over time. I have knowingly made a 0.100 error in the past that gained me 0.800 immediately in equity. To me it's less what actual equity I gain than the odds are that I'll get the gain multiplied by the expected gain. It seems like that would be the correct way to evaluate it.

For example, if you only needed 10% drops to make a cube correct and got 12% over time, it is still correct the 88% you didn't get drops. It is the expected average return, not the actual return in a single situation, that matters.

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