[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

What is the lowest winning % for Too good? - 61% example

Posted By: eXtreme Gammon
Date: Saturday, 6 July 2013, at 6:46 p.m.

In Response To: What is the lowest winning % for Too good? (Mochy)

Adding Backgammon allows to go quite low:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 88
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBBBaaaa--a---aabbbbB--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 61.33% (G:51.84% B:21.93%) 61.85% (G:51.92% B:21.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 38.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 38.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.964 +1.943
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.002±0.004 (+0.998..+1.006)
Redouble/Take:+1.567 (+0.565)±0.009 (+1.558..+1.576)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (-0.002)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 0.3%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:78.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 11 minutes 26 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.11

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.