But looking further down in the same match, game 3, you decide to take when doubled in a dubious 25 backgame. (at this point, Jason have missed 7 cubes in that particular game). Score is 60/9 in your favor, and you risk a gammon at the rate of about 20%.
The position is a proper double, and a pass according to XG. It's by no means a big pass, only a 0,027 error, but if you were going to adjust anything in your game from low PR towards winning  this is exactly the place to do so (in my eyes).
I have done a few rollouts of backgame cube actions with XGR+ checker plays and cube decisions, search interval huge. What I noticed is that XG evaluation of backgame cube decisions is way off. It grossly undervalues chances of the backgame player. Perhaps due to its known weakness in containment game.
I have not done rollouts for that particular game, but I believe they might turn all those "missed cubes" by Jason into proper nondoubles and Mochy's "small pass" into a huge take.
Here is a sample of what I did some time ago to compare different rollout settings. Anything lower than XGR+/XGR+ is quite a bit off. Notice that changing search interval for 4ply checker play has zero effect  meaning XG does not play 4ply much better than 3ply for backgames.
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in XG Roller++  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.90% (G:37.58% B:8.07%)  65.91% (G:38.04% B:8.04%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.10% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  34.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.755  +1.558 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +1.000  
Double/Take:  +1.306 (+0.306)  
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.76% (G:37.10% B:8.00%)  64.72% (G:37.24% B:8.31%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  35.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.746  +1.500 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.970 (0.030)  ±0.012 (+0.958..+0.981) 
Double/Take:  +1.176 (+0.176)  ±0.025 (+1.151..+1.201) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31641692 Moves: 3ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 1 minute 45 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.48% (G:37.02% B:7.87%)  63.79% (G:37.00% B:8.06%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  36.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.739  +1.453 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.968 (0.032)  ±0.006 (+0.962..+0.975) 
Double/Take:  +1.121 (+0.121)  ±0.019 (+1.102..+1.140) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31641692 Moves: 4ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 19 minutes 49 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.48% (G:37.02% B:7.87%)  63.71% (G:36.99% B:8.05%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  36.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.739  +1.449 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.968 (0.032)  ±0.006 (+0.962..+0.975) 
Double/Take:  +1.117 (+0.117)  ±0.019 (+1.099..+1.136) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31641692 Moves: 4ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Large


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 21 minutes 58 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.48% (G:37.02% B:7.87%)  63.73% (G:37.01% B:8.04%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  36.27% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.739  +1.450 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.968 (0.032)  ±0.006 (+0.962..+0.975) 
Double/Take:  +1.121 (+0.121)  ±0.019 (+1.102..+1.139) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31641692 Moves: 4ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Huge


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 24 minutes 24 seconds 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  64.21% (G:36.84% B:7.73%)  63.70% (G:36.79% B:7.92%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  35.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  36.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.730  +1.442 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.967 (0.033)  ±0.007 (+0.960..+0.974) 
Double/Take:  +1.103 (+0.103)  ±0.019 (+1.084..+1.122) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31641692 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  63.93% (G:36.65% B:7.64%)  63.65% (G:36.84% B:7.88%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  36.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  36.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.721  +1.440 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.965 (0.035)  ±0.007 (+0.958..+0.972) 
Double/Take:  +1.099 (+0.099)  ±0.020 (+1.079..+1.119) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31641692 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Large


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 1 hour 53 minutes 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
  White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 151  Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver  pip: 66 score: 0
Blue is Player 1  
XGID=bbDDDCcbbbb:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 
Blue on roll, cube action? 
Analyzed in Rollout  No double  Double/Take 
Player Winning Chances:  63.96% (G:36.66% B:7.64%)  63.60% (G:36.63% B:7.92%) 
Opponent Winning Chances:  36.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)  36.40% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 
Cubeless Equities  +0.722  +1.435 
Cubeful Equities 
No double:  +0.957 (0.043)  ±0.009 (+0.948..+0.966) 
Double/Take:  +1.094 (+0.094)  ±0.021 (+1.073..+1.116) 
Double/Pass:  +1.000 

Best Cube action: Double / Pass 
Rollout details 
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 24617919 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+ Search interval: Huge


Double Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Take Decision confidence:  100.0% 
Duration: 2 hours 17 minutes 
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
About 0.2 in relative equity difference regarding the pass decision between XGR++ evaluation and XGR+/XGR+ rollout.