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Rollouts of the three positions

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 18 January 2014, at 4:38 p.m.

In Response To: My matches in New York Metropolitan Open 2014 (Jason Lee)





White is Mochy

score: 0
pip: 118
9 point match
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Jason Lee
XGID=-A-B-bD-B-CCa-a--b-cbb--b-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.31% (G:1.53% B:0.04%) 66.40% (G:1.50% B:0.03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.69% (G:1.86% B:0.03%) 33.60% (G:1.88% B:0.04%)
Cubeless Equities +0.323 +0.646
Cubeful Equities
xg No double:+0.5460.007 (+0.539..+0.553)
played Double/Take:+0.458 (-0.088)0.009 (+0.450..+0.467)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.454)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 14.0%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1194059
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 43 minutes 53 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Mochy

score: 6
pip: 165
9 point match
pip: 106
score: 0

Blue is Jason Lee
XGID=--bBBcCBBB---B--ab-cb-b---:0:0:1:00:0:6:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.79% (G:19.08% B:0.56%) 67.22% (G:18.10% B:0.56%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.21% (G:3.55% B:0.04%) 32.78% (G:3.28% B:0.27%)
Cubeless Equities +0.477 +1.054
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.961 (-0.037)0.005 (+0.956..+0.966)
played Double/Take:+0.9990.008 (+0.990..+1.007)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.001)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1194059
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:63.7%
Duration: 37 minutes 04 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2





White is Mochy

score: 7
pip: 107
9 point match
pip: 124
score: 4

Blue is Jason Lee
XGID=----CBCAC----A--bdcfB-----:0:0:-1:00:4:7:0:9:10
White on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.35% (G:0.97% B:0.01%) 80.50% (G:1.55% B:0.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.65% (G:0.23% B:0.00%) 19.50% (G:0.11% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.623 +1.922
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.952 (-0.048)0.003 (+0.950..+0.955)
played Double/Take:+1.297 (+0.297)0.008 (+1.290..+1.305)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1194059
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 34 minutes 08 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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