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Does the box have an advantage?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 30 November 2013, at 4:13 p.m.

In Response To: Does the box have an advantage? (phil simborg)

The first year I played bg was strictly chouette only. I didn't know my hand from my ass at that point and probably never gave much thought to taking to keep the box or any other fancy advanced chouette play. I haven't really played but once or twice since at ABT events so this is more of a thought experiment than anything else but considering the situation where I am the box (or even the Captain trying to win the box) and I am cubed here. Earlier in the game everyone else's cubes were resolved with me winning two points and losing two points. To keep the box I have to show a profit. Are you suggesting that I should drop this cube and not take solely to try to keep the box?? I think it fits all your criteria. I would take this in a heartbeat v. one opponent to keep the box. I would drop it like it's hot if the box were not on the line.

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 8
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 8
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 75.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 24.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.510 +1.020
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.525 (-0.475)
Double/Take:+1.019 (+0.019)
Best Cube action: Double / Pass

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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