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OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic

Posted By: Art Grater
Date: Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:40 a.m.

In Response To: OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic (joe freedman)

No need to assume he is not lying. For example, he might be able to distinguish 100% correctly but choose to lie 20% of the time. That still leads to the same answer. The reason for the 20% misidentification is irrelevant.

As to your question about why the color mix matters, suppose the witness decides by flipping a fair coin. He'll always guess 50 out of 100 are green and 50 are blue. The more the mix of cabs strays from 50-50, the less accurate the coin-flipping witness will be.

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