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OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic

Posted By: joe freedman
Date: Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:21 p.m.

In Response To: OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic (Bob Koca)

If you're asking whether choosing a color would be accurate based on a coin flip 50% of the time, then I would say no. Not if the colors are not distributed 50-50. The breakdown of cars is relevant, not just in the coin flip situation (which seems obvious) but also in the 80% witness situation (which does not seem so obvious). If you knew that the cars were 85% green and 15% blue, you would be better off (if blindfolded) simply choosing green, as you'd be right 85% of the time.

Messages In This Thread

• OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
  joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 4:12 a.m.
  • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
    Jake Jacobs -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 5:11 a.m.
    • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 7:31 a.m.
      • +1 *NM*
        Jim Stutz -- Sunday, 3 May 2015, at 3:35 a.m.
    • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
      Fatboy -- Sunday, 3 May 2015, at 7:06 p.m.
  • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
    Art Grater -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:40 a.m.
  • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
    rambiz -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 9:50 a.m.
    • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
      Mike Clapsadle -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 11:29 a.m.
      • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
        Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:17 p.m.
        • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
          Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:26 p.m.
        • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
          Havard Raddum -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:28 p.m.
          • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
            Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:37 p.m.
        • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
          Mike Clapsadle -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 9:04 p.m.
  • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
    joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 4:52 p.m.
    • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 4:57 p.m.
      • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
        joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 5:36 p.m.
        • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
          Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:12 p.m.
          • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
            joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:21 p.m.
            • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
              Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:44 p.m.
              • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
                joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:59 p.m.
                • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
                  Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 7:17 p.m.
                  • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
                    joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 8:20 p.m.
    • OFF TOPIC -- A question of logic
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:00 p.m.
      • Coin Flip variation
        Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:20 p.m.
        • Coin Flip variation
          Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 6:30 p.m.
        • Coin Flip variation
          joe freedman -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 7:13 p.m.
          • Coin Flip variation
            Bob Koca -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 8:01 p.m.
          • Coin Flip variation
            Art Grater -- Saturday, 2 May 2015, at 8:52 p.m.