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Remedial Race Analysis
Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 14 December 2013, at 12:48 a.m.
In Response To: Remedial Race Analysis (Mr Majestyk)
Nigel, if I understand your method correctly: 1) Apply the Keith count adjustments for stacks on the 1,2,3 points to the pip counts (but not the adjustment for the empty 4,5, or 6points and you also don't add 1/7). 2) Use Kleinman or some other racing formula to get a winning chance estimate based on these (partial) Keithadjusted pip counts. 3)Add 21% of the outfield checkers distance to the 6point and 0.5% for each outfield crossover to the favorite's winning chances.
Correct?

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