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Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Monday, 10 May 2010, at 3:05 p.m.

In Response To: Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc. (Rich Munitz)

Agree and well said Rich. Anyone claiming this is a blunder is in fact saying that you are underestimating your skill advantage over what I understand is a pretty good player in any case (or don't know what they are talking about).

Doubling is only a mistake if the skill difference is big enough AND your opponent indeed takes, but if your going to take suboptimal play into account, it also becomes more difficult to predict Eli's action. If you assume a 20% chance that he passes, how big should the skill difference be to make this a proper 'no double'? If Eli was flustered, does that mean that he is going to more readily take or drop? I at least don't know, and with so many imponderables I don't belief there is a clear-cut right or wrong action here.

It is a long time ago that I played in tournaments, but I'll take your remarks on the time and dynamics of the match (how strong is your opponent going to play the remainder of the match given past play, and how strong are you going to play yourself - this can indeed differ a lot from normal for some players) with me for future use.

There is something else. In my past experience of a long while back, I found that if I cube after playing on for the gammon, people tend to drop takes. If that is a common mistake as I think it is, cubing again becomes better.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action from Cyprus
  Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 2:29 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Bill Riles -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:06 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Bill Riles -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:30 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    mikeg -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:09 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 3:40 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:07 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:18 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:43 a.m.
      • Cube action from Cyprus
        neilkaz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:46 a.m.
        • Cube action from Cyprus
          Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:50 a.m.
          • Cube action from Cyprus
            Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 4:06 p.m.
            • Cube action from Cyprus
              Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 5:16 p.m.
              • Cube action from Cyprus
                neilkaz -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 5:48 p.m.
              • Cube action from Cyprus
                Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 6:15 p.m.
              • Cube action from Cyprus
                Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:50 p.m.
                • Cube action from Cyprus
                  Bob Koca -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 8:08 p.m.
  • SM RO
    Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:22 a.m.
    • SM RO
      John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 9:29 p.m.
    • SM RO - As bad as it gets
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 9:39 p.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:23 a.m.
    • Cube action from Cyprus
      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:29 a.m.
      • Cube action from Cyprus
        Stick -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:32 a.m.
      • Cube action from Cyprus
        Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:35 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    christian munk-christensen -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 7:55 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 11:45 a.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Keene -- Sunday, 9 May 2010, at 10:55 p.m.
  • Cube action from Cyprus
    Christian Plenz -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 1:48 a.m.
  • Some Actual Rollouts
    Stick -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 7:49 a.m.
  • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:16 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      Rich Munitz -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:34 p.m.
      • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 3:05 p.m.
        • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
          Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 8:36 a.m.
          • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
            Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 8:15 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      christian munk-christensen -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:49 p.m.
      • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 3:26 p.m.
    • Too good?
      Petter Bengtsson -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 2:50 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      Gregg Cattanach -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 7:06 p.m.
      • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
        Timothy Chow -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 8:30 p.m.
        • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
          Stick -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 8:54 p.m.
          • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 9:47 p.m.
          • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 12:30 a.m.
            • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
              Keene -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 4:56 a.m.
              • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 2:47 p.m.
    • Results, ROs, analysis, thoughts, etc.
      Bob Koca -- Monday, 10 May 2010, at 7:38 p.m.
      • Agreed *NM*
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 11 May 2010, at 2:52 p.m.