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Error Rates

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 5:27 p.m.

In Response To: Error Rates (Coolrey)

Geez a whole section on something that is obviously, at best, only the second most important evaluator of skill.

There's a difference between "skill" and "performance". The only measure of performance is your W-L record. One pretty good measure of skill is your ER, but it's not the end all be all.

This is like in baseball, where peripheral statistics like WHIP and OPS and ERA+ and VORP and all that mumbo jumbo can help measure whether a player is any good. In the end, the only statistic that matters is whether the team wins or loses. Your measurable skills can help you to predict whether or not your team wins or loses.

In BG, ER is like all those sabermetric stats in baseball. They're excellent predictors of performance. As Coolrey rightly points out, they can't ever show the whole picture, because there are many many times when you make a suboptimal-ER play for a larger goal.

JLee

Messages In This Thread

• Error Rates
  Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:42 a.m.
  • Error Rates
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:17 a.m.
    • Error Rates
      Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:24 a.m.
      • Error Rates
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 10:29 a.m.
        • Error Rates
          Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 10:41 a.m.
    • Error Rates
      Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 3:20 p.m.
      • Error Rates
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:39 p.m.
        • Error Rates
          Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 6:04 p.m.
          • Error Rates
            Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 6:16 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 5:33 p.m.
  • Error Rates
    mikeg -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 2:53 p.m.
  • Error Rates
    Rod -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 2:57 p.m.
  • Error Rates
    David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 3:04 p.m.
  • Error Rates
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 3:15 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 3:20 p.m.
      • Error Rates
        Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 3:29 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Tom Keith -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:32 p.m.
  • Excuses / Reasons
    David Rockwell -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:20 p.m.
  • Error Rates
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:24 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:16 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:22 p.m.
  • Error Rates
    Coolrey -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 4:54 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 5:27 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 6:49 p.m.
      • Error Rates
        Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 7:11 p.m.
        • Error Rates
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:06 p.m.
          • Error Rates
            Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:10 p.m.
            • Error Rates
              Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:51 p.m.
              • Error Rates
                Bill Riles -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:29 p.m.
                • Error Rates
                  Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 10:28 p.m.
                  • Error Rates
                    Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 11:32 p.m.
                    • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                      Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 7:52 a.m.
                      • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                        Rod -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 1:32 p.m.
                      • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                        Frank_N_Stein -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 3:25 p.m.
                        • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                          Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 3:52 p.m.
                          • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                            Frank_N_Stein -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 8:42 p.m.
                            • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                              David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 9:48 p.m.
                              • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                                Frank_N_Stein -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 10:41 p.m.
                            • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                              adambulldog -- Thursday, 30 April 2009, at 3:42 a.m.
                              • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                                Frank_N_Stein -- Thursday, 30 April 2009, at 4:39 a.m.
                              • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                                Keene -- Thursday, 30 April 2009, at 6:48 a.m.
                            • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                              phil Simborg -- Thursday, 30 April 2009, at 4:27 p.m.
                        • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                          Rich Munitz -- Friday, 1 May 2009, at 1:30 a.m.
                          • At what ER are you considered a fish?
                            Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 1 May 2009, at 7:49 a.m.
                      • if you look around ---
                        garyo -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 4:03 p.m.
              • Error Rates
                Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:37 p.m.
              • Error Rates
                Rich Munitz -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 10:21 p.m.
            • Error Rates
              Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 10:54 p.m.
          • Error Rates
            Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:48 p.m.
            • Error Rates
              Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:12 p.m.
            • Error Rates
              Coolrey -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 11:26 p.m.
              • Error Rates
                Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 11:46 p.m.
      • Error Rates
        Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:22 p.m.
        • Error Rates
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:34 p.m.
          • Error Rates
            Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 9:36 p.m.
            • Error Rates
              Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 10:46 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Marv Porten -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 7:20 p.m.
    • Error Rates
      Stick -- Tuesday, 28 April 2009, at 8:17 p.m.
      • Error Rates
        Havard Raddum -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 8:13 a.m.
        • Error Rates
          misja -- Wednesday, 29 April 2009, at 10:55 a.m.