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+1 (1,4)

Posted By: Casper Van der Tak
Date: Saturday, 8 February 2014, at 2:07 a.m.

In Response To: +1 (1,4) (Rod)

I think less of a favorite than you assume - when you make statements about winning probabilities, what sd in the PR are you assuming? And what correlation between the PRs of both players? How do these vary with match length?

Messages In This Thread

• San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
  Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 4:11 p.m.
  • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
    Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 4:54 p.m.
    • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
      Art Grater -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 9:35 p.m.
  • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
    Carter Mattig -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 5:21 p.m.
  • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
    David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 5:27 p.m.
  • Fixing the 80 player bracket (long)
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 5:29 p.m.
    • +1
      Keene -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 6:05 p.m.
    • Fixing the 80 player bracket (long)
      Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 6:16 p.m.
      • Test email sent to you
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 6:32 p.m.
        • Test email sent to you
          Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 6:37 p.m.
          • Test email sent to you
            neilkaz -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 6:58 p.m.
            • Test email sent to you
              Bill Riles -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 8:36 p.m.
              • Test email sent to you
                Michael Petch -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 9:57 p.m.
                • Test email sent to you
                  Michael Petch -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 9:58 p.m.
                  • Test email sent to you
                    Bill Riles -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 4:03 a.m.
                    • I did nothing
                      neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:00 p.m.
                      • I did nothing
                        Keene -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:18 p.m.
                        • I did nothing
                          Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:26 p.m.
                        • I did nothing (OT)
                          neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:37 p.m.
    • Fixing the 80 player bracket (long)
      Tom Keith -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 2:11 a.m.
      • Fixing the 80 player bracket (long)
        Art Grater -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 2:28 a.m.
      • Fixing the 80 player bracket (long)
        Bob Koca -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 4:40 a.m.
        • Fixing the 80 player bracket (long)
          Tom Keith -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 1:56 p.m.
    • I dont get the obession with redoing drawsheets...
      Bill Finneran -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 2:52 p.m.
      • Drawsheets with experience.....
        Bill Finneran -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 4:59 p.m.
      • I dont get the obession with redoing drawsheets...
        Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 8:30 p.m.
        • I dont get the obession with redoing drawsheets...
          Bill Finneran -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 9:33 p.m.
  • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 6:29 p.m.
    • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
      tem_sat -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 7:32 p.m.
  • San Antonio Glitches -- Long -- Comments and Suggestions Appreciated
    ed olaughlin -- Wednesday, 5 February 2014, at 9:18 p.m.
    • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
      Rod -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 1:19 a.m.
      • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:43 p.m.
        • +1
          Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 4:39 p.m.
        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
          Igor -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 5:28 p.m.
      • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
        Petko -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 9:42 p.m.
        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
          Keene -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:05 p.m.
          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
            Bill Riles -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:37 p.m.
            • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
              Keene -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:49 p.m.
        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
          Victor Ashkenazi -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:29 p.m.
          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
            Petko -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:34 p.m.
          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
            Mochy -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 2:55 a.m.
            • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
              Victor Ashkenazi -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 11:02 a.m.
              • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 11:52 a.m.
                • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                  Henrik Bukkjaer -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 1:56 p.m.
                  • +1 (1,4)
                    Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 6:11 p.m.
                    • +1 (1,4)
                      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:26 p.m.
                      • +1 (1,4)
                        Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 9:17 p.m.
                        • +1 (1,4)
                          Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 8 February 2014, at 2:07 a.m.
        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:30 p.m.
        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
          Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 1:53 a.m.
          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
            Petko -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 3:07 a.m.
            • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
              Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 3:18 a.m.
              • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 3:33 a.m.
                • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                  Petko -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 3:44 a.m.
                  • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                    Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 4:26 a.m.
                    • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                      Stick -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:10 a.m.
                      • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                        Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:31 a.m.
                        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                          Stick -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 8:16 a.m.
                          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                            Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 9:01 a.m.
                          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                            Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 11:06 a.m.
                          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
                            Christian Munk-Christensen -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 11:49 a.m.
                  • Petko - match winning chance is, as you know, different than PR
                    Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 5:37 a.m.
        • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
          Mochy -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 2:48 a.m.
          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
            Stick -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 6:58 a.m.
          • Ed O - Dual duel suggestion
            Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:36 a.m.
    • doo doo
      Coolrey -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:30 p.m.
      • +1
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:56 p.m.
      • doo doo
        Stick -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 9:13 p.m.
      • doo doo - the goal
        Rod -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 9:24 p.m.
      • doo doo
        Henrik Bukkjaer -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 11:50 p.m.
  • Comments and Suggestion
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 1:26 a.m.
    • Comments and Suggestion
      Joe Russell -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 1:43 a.m.
  • Progressive Consol, yes, Progressive Last Chance, No
    phil simborg -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 3:03 p.m.
    • Progressive Consol, yes, Progressive Last Chance, No
      David Rockwell -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 4:14 p.m.
      • Too many chiefs attempting to reinvent the wheel
        Mr Majestyk -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 6:33 p.m.
  • More thoughts about brackets
    Sam Pottle -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 3:47 p.m.
    • More thoughts about brackets
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:34 p.m.
      • More thoughts about brackets
        Bill Riles -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 7:49 p.m.
        • More thoughts about brackets
          neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 9:05 p.m.
          • More thoughts about brackets
            Bill Riles -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 10:05 p.m.
          • More thoughts about brackets
            Henrik Bukkjaer -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 12:40 a.m.
            • More thoughts about brackets
              Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 9:15 a.m.
          • More thoughts about brackets
            Art Grater -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 7:26 a.m.
  • wish list for all tourneys
    garyo -- Thursday, 6 February 2014, at 8:33 p.m.
  • wouldn't it be fun!!!!
    phil simborg -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 12:04 a.m.
    • wouldn't it be fun!!!!
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 12:37 a.m.
    • wouldn't it be fun!!!!
      David Rennie -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 2:35 a.m.
    • wouldn't it be fun!!!!
      Stick -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 6:56 a.m.
      • wouldn't it be fun!!!! message for Stick
        Fatboy -- Friday, 7 February 2014, at 11:09 p.m.
        • wouldn't it be fun!!!! message for Stick
          Stick -- Saturday, 8 February 2014, at 2:09 a.m.